Labour’s big budget – is it boom, bust or just a load of old baloney?

Paula Veysey-Smith • 1 November 2024

Most of you will probably think the latter.  If you are an employee, you’ll probably be pleased that you’re going to have the same take home pay as you did before the budget so why worry about the rest? 


Well, you should because your hard-earned money is not going to be worth as much going forward due to this budget.  So rather than the usual budget round up lets dig deeper into the impact on us all of the increase in Employers National Insurance rate.


Although all businesses will be impacted by this measure it is the smaller ones that will feel the greatest effect. Small businesses are heralded as the backbone of our economy.  Small and Medium Enterprises (SME’S) make up 99% of all UK businesses, employ 61% of total employees and produce a combined turnover of £2.4 trillion.  I work with owners of such enterprises and they are the hardest working people I know.  Running a small business can be very rewarding personally but often not financially.  It is simply a myth that owners of SME’s sit back and enjoy the profits of others labours; most are working long hours every day just to make ends meet.


The rise in National Insurance Contributions, arguable the biggest measure in the budget, will have a devastating effect on this the backbone of our economy. An increase in the rate to 15% coupled with the lowering of the threshold when it is paid to £5, 000 is forecast to generate £20 billion in tax revenue.  Yes, the allowance every business receives before contributions are payable has increased to £10, 500 but really this is just a small drop in the growing ocean of the tax burden. The additional cost to a small business of this measure alone will be enough to push some owners to call it a day and close their doors.  That will be a hard blow for some of those 61% employed workers affected by company closures; it won’t matter what was on their payslip as they no longer will receive one.


Business closure is just one impact from this increase. This measure is a tax on jobs, on working people, absolutely guaranteeing lower wages and higher prices. Tax and employee national insurance contributions may not have increased on the payslip but the amount of money any worker receives will be worth less going forward. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) have already forecasted that 76% of the increase in Employers National Insurance will be passed on to everyday people through lower real wages, a combination of pay freezes/cuts and increased prices.


So, the definition of who the working person is has once again been dangerously misunderstood.  No wonder that we are already hearing of owners who have decided they can no longer continue.  The Labour government claims that this is a budget for growth but already the OBR has downgraded the UK’s forecast for growth.  How can there be growth without our small businesses, the backbone of the British economy.


It is not a green light for our economy, the future is not even orange.  Like the colour of the party that is responsible for delivering on the budget promises, the future could very easily be red.  It is without doubt that we are all going to pay the price for Labour’s extensive spending plans so I hope that they invest our money wisely.


We are experts in small business and have analysed all the budget announcements and how they may affect SME’s.  We can assist you with understanding how the increase in both National Insurance contributions and also minimum wage will affect your business and help you develop strategies to minimise the impact of this additional cost burden.


Get in touch with us today to discuss how we can support your business through these changes and ensure you’re well-prepared for the future.

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